Improving Risk Analysis [Repost]

Improving Risk Analysis shows how to better assess and manage uncertain risks when the consequences of alternative actions are in doubt.  The constructive methods of causal analysis and risk modeling presented in this monograph will enable to better understand uncertain risks and decide how to manage them.The book is divided into three parts. Parts 1 shows how high-quality risk analysis can improve the clarity and effectiveness of individual, community, and enterprise decisions when the consequences of different choices are uncertain. Part 2 discusses social decisions.  Part 3 illustrates these methods and models, showing how to apply them to health effects of particulate air pollution."Tony Cox’s new book addresses what risk analysts and policy makers most need to know:  How to find out what causes what, and how to quantify the practical differences that changes in risk management practices would make. The constructive methods in Improving Risk Analysis will be invaluable in helping practitioners to deliver more useful insights to inform high-stakes decisions and policy,in areas ranging from disaster planning to counter-terrorism investments to enterprise risk management to air pollution abatement policies.  Better risk management is possible and practicable; Improving Risk Analysis explains how."